Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.029099 0.034592 0.040320 0.046700 0.053570 0.060711 0.068665
2025-11-16 0.018860 0.026292 0.034625 0.044464 0.055593 0.067643 0.081540
2025-11-23 0.012471 0.020630 0.030466 0.042699 0.057095 0.073169 0.092175
2025-11-30 0.009220 0.017914 0.029079 0.043545 0.061072 0.081062 0.105090
2025-12-07 0.007000 0.016007 0.028288 0.044768 0.065215 0.088923 0.117780
2025-12-14 0.005569 0.014873 0.028253 0.046736 0.070097 0.097527 0.131222
2025-12-21 0.004103 0.013311 0.027398 0.047474 0.073335 0.104082 0.142196
2025-12-28 0.003788 0.013622 0.029136 0.051569 0.080715 0.115561 0.158925
2026-01-04 0.002335 0.011388 0.026922 0.050221 0.081132 0.118578 0.165610
2026-01-11 0.001644 0.010420 0.026471 0.051166 0.084385 0.124972 0.176249
2026-01-18 0.001023 0.009287 0.025613 0.051445 0.086711 0.130182 0.185437
2026-01-25 0.000600 0.008385 0.025011 0.052009 0.089352 0.135740 0.195008
2026-02-01 0.000244 0.007282 0.024002 0.052029 0.091399 0.140744 0.204164
2026-02-08 0.000012 0.005646 0.021766 0.050089 0.090750 0.142339 0.209176
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004286 0.019746 0.048302 0.090192 0.143972 0.214176
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003824 0.019495 0.049224 0.093317 0.150260 0.224868
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003506 0.019504 0.050532 0.096962 0.157203 0.236362
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003405 0.020002 0.052629 0.101707 0.165558 0.249604
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003015 0.019721 0.053414 0.104592 0.171509 0.259866
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003443 0.021572 0.057763 0.112528 0.183994 0.278243
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002612 0.020001 0.056332 0.112242 0.185828 0.283387
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002348 0.019889 0.057335 0.115400 0.192116 0.294060
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001984 0.019388 0.057632 0.117524 0.197044 0.303029